A candidate gene approach to genetic prognostic factors of IgA nephropathy--a result of Polymorphism REsearch to DIstinguish genetic factors Contributing To progression of IgA Nephropathy (PREDICT-IgAN).

BACKGROUND Renal prognosis of IgA nephropathy (IgAN) is affected by environmental and genetic factors. Other studies demonstrated that some atherosclerotic disease-related genes were significantly associated with renal prognosis. METHODS The Polymorphism REsearch to DIstinguish genetic factors Contributing To progression of IgAN (PREDICT-IgAN) was a multicentre retrospective observational study to investigate associations between progression of IgAN (a 50% increase of serum creatinine level and slope of eGFR) and a hundred atherosclerotic disease-related gene polymorphisms, mainly single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in 320 IgAN patients who had more than a normal range of urinary protein (> or =0.25 g/day) at diagnosis. RESULTS During 8.3 +/- 4.2 years of a follow-up period, 83 patients (25.9%) developed progression. In log-rank tests, glycoprotein Ia GPIa C807T and G873A and intercellular adhesion molecule-1 ICAM-1 A1548G (K469E) were found to be significantly associated with progression even after adjustment for multiple comparisons by the method of Bonferroni (adjusted P = 0.0174, 0.0176 and 0.0430, respectively). In a multivariate Cox proportional-hazards model, GPIa 807TT (873CC) [versus 807TT, adjusted hazard ratio 2.05 (95% confidence interval 1.13-3.71)] and ICAM-1 1548GG [versus 1548AA, 2.55 (1.40-4.65)] were identified as independent genetic predictors of progression, along with conventional clinical prognostic factors such as eGFR, urinary protein and use of antihypertensives at diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS PREDICT-IgAN distinguished GPIa C807T/ G873A and ICAM-1 A1548G from multiple athero- sclerotic disease-related gene polymorphisms by their predictive indicator for progression of IgAN.